The UP Overkill Caution

Sometimes, the most adverse situations in life spark the most desperate act of daring. In the movie “Ransom” Mel Gibson’s son is kidnapped. Two attempts at paying ransom fail. In a chilling twist, Gibson decides that he will not pay the ransom any more. Instead, he doubles the ransom amount to a bounty on the kidnapper’s head (Video: 1.51 mins):

Gibson promises the kidnapper he will never see one dollar of the money. Kidnappers and blackmailers are among the worst criminals on earth because they hold the lives of others as a negotiating tool and in danger. The gang of alleged farmers held the whole NCR to ransom and blackmailed the GOI for over a year. Lacking the courage to nip the criminals in the bud, PM Narendra Modi just folded up. Not only did he withdraw the farm laws without any pre-conditions but he also withdrew all criminal cases for the violence and damage caused. Stubble burning cases and laws were also dropped.

And Modi did all this on “Guru Purab” as he called it on November 19. As if Sikhs are the only farmers in this land. But this action wasn’t for Punjab votes as many argue. This cowardice is for UP votes. After the severe Bengal slap, Modi and BJP are damn scared about losing elections. They are reduced from 21 states around 2017-18 to about a dozen currently. Of course, UP must be won at all costs and it is the lifeline to LS2024 and a lot of electoral-pride is also at stake. Modi has been hectic in his activity in UP with unending project launches and the Kashi Corridor opening and a dip in the Ganga. I guess it was time for him to become a Hindu for a few months:

If that wasn’t enough, Modi has announced over 1 lakh crores worth of projects in UP and a few in Uttarakhand and Himachal. All 3 states are heavily dependent on the Hindu vote while Muslims have a chunk in some regions in UP. A day ago, a team led by Dharmendra Pradhan was also set to woo Brahmins in UP. The same Brahmins that Ambedkariyas of BJP abuse all year and have more or less wiped out of education system due to Reservation. All these are not signs of confidence. All these are signs of FEAR. As with Bengal where they rushed a lot of ministers to campaign, the BJP assembled all their CMs for a big show of strength in Varanasi and Ayodhya. They did an overkill in Bengal and they are about to do an overkill in UP too:

In another meeting, Amit Shah, the most incompetent of ministers in the Modi Cabinet, yet again screamed BJP will win 300+ in UP. The guy doesn’t learn any lessons. In 2017, he bragged BJP will get 150 in Gujarat. They barely managed to cling to a majority and got 99. In Bengal he bragged BJP would get 200, they ended up with 75. However, why so much overkill with the shows and razzmatazz in a Covid-ridden campaign? Because the opinion polls are showing a steady decline in seats for the BJP in UP:

The ABP poll is not the only one showing a decline in seats. Timesnow polls showed a decline too. I am sure BJP too must have an internal group doing their own surveys. Opinion polls cannot be accurate but there is always a “natural anti-incumbency” for every ruling party. It may be in a loss or reduced seats. The BJP got 71 LS seats from UP in 2014 but were reduced to around 62 in 2019. And the excessive chest-thumping and overkill is being caused by a sense of fear of losing or a heavily reduced number of seats. There is a reason Modi and BJP have lost over 10 states in the last four years. Even as you brag about your achievements, there has to be a touch of modesty. Modi blundered with his “Didi-O-Didi” taunts in Bengal. In Bengal too, the media and BJP footsies behaved as if the BJP is the only party contesting. They are doing the same in UP.

One hopes for Yogi’s sake that BJP campaigners bring back some modesty in their speeches. It is a psychological fact that people are repulsed by overkill. BJP lost Bengal partly because of an overkill and partly for sucking up to Muslims and Mujibur. Modi should recall his grandiose announcements in Bihar 2015. He asked the crowds how much they wanted as doles and finally promised 1.25 lakh crores as if he is some great emperor showering crumbs on his subjects. And for all those grand announcements the BJP alliance lost Bihar in 2015:

On December 25, BJP ministers and senior members celebrated Christmas with a begging bowl. Suddenly, all of them were seeking donations from the general public. I wonder why the biggest political party with maximum corporate funding and electoral bonds sale would resort to such beggary:

BJP received 76% of all Trust donations in 2019-20. The BJP received 276 crs, Congress 58 crores, SP 2 crores and all others 23 crores. The highest donations for BJP came from a Trust group of Airtel, Adil Infra and DLF. In case of Electoral Bonds too the BJP got 75% of the total collections. Hindustan Times reports from EC data: “The BJP… ₹2,555 crore-- via electoral bonds. This was up from ₹1,450 crore it received the previous year. The BJP’s cash flow, according to its audit report filed with the ECI, remains the highest among political parties at ₹3,501 crore, up from ₹1,904 in 2018-2019”.

That was for 2019-20. During the Covid-hit 2020-21 many pharma and vaccine companies would have made hefty donations. So, this begging for donations from public is NOT really a pauper seeking money. It is essentially to judge the public mood and response. The BJP is in fear of voters’ minds and doesn’t want another shock like Bengal. Thus, these donation-tricks used as public surveys expressed by money through action.

Whatever fears BJP has manifests in different ways. Firstly, Modi covers up all the failures of his govt with flashy, razzmatazz shows like I said before. Lipstick is the most powerful tool of Modi. Secondly, Yogi certainly has a strong standing as a better Hindu mascot than Modi. In May this year, Morning Consult, the same agency that gives top ratings to Modi among international Heads of govts showed a fall in his popularity within India:

Modi’s “Mann Ki Baat” once used to be eagerly awaited and trended on SM. Now it neither trends nor anybody from public bothers to comment on what he said. There is a fatigue to everything. In August 2021, India Today Mood of the Nation poll also showed a dip in Modi’s domestic popularity. India faces serious economy-problems and unemployment. Modi is fishing here and there for money to feed the beggars of this country. GST rates on some products will go up from January 2022. Ostentatious drama with Kashi or Ayodhya and excessive theatre is an overkill. The BJP and Modi would do well to remember the overkill in Bengal and show some modest caution.

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Confirmed Losers - 3

(Please read Part-1 and Part-2 of this series if you haven’t yet.)

Every party in the elections will claim they are confident of winning and every member of the ThugBandhan is entitled to claim PM Modi will be thrown out. But in modern elections, every major party also conducts its own internal opinion polls and exit polls. You can be sure that both BJP and Congress have exit polls from the five phases of voting so far. Even after four phases Narendra Modi’s speeches are indicators of what BJP’s internal exit polls are telling him. In particular, his NEW assertion that this is the first time in history that there’s a “pro-incumbency” wave is not mere election hyperbole. Add to that the thrashing response to “Chor” rants of RaGa with an attack on “Bhrashtachari No.1” Rajiv Gandhi. Modi knows how to time his slaps.

I have written since 2014 that SoniaG will not be campaigning again for Congress. This is more because of her frail health. She didn’t even bother much to campaign in her own constituency of Rae Bareli. Such is the taking of voters for granted. But her silence, like a snake coiled into its wicker basket, is also an indicator of what Congress expects. Otherwise, she would have been chirping and exuberant at least to the extent of making loud statements to the media. Sonia would be hoping for some miracle and that’s not illegal yet:

As the LS2014 verdict became obvious even before elections started, there were Christian college principals writing emails to students to not vote Modi. There were the usual comic lot of actors, acrobats, flame-throwers, bikini-dancers, artyfart idiots all writing public letters to defeat Modi. And they have sprung up again and have been writing letters this time too. But they are low-key for some reason. Here is one of the most uncouth, smooth-talking criminals who the media foists on public for no reason other than his vulgar Commie utterances. Yogendra Yadav, the fake pollster, fake social activist and “Real Salim” threatened in 2014 the country will burn if Modi becomes PM:

Exactly what India-hating pigs want. That if they don’t get the party or PM of their liking, the country should burn. This is exactly what the Congress and their Sickular accomplices want – India to burn if they don’t win and if Modi becomes PM again. They are now poised to create every legal hurdle in govt formation if Modi wins again and if he becomes PM, they will do everything to burn India. Juvenile jerk Rahul Gandhi kept ranting “Modi Chor Chor” and when Modi hit back in different words to say “Tera Baap Chor Hai” all hell broke loose:

The same tiny dancers of Congress who encouraged RG in his spurious rants, none could counter the fact that Rajiv Gandhi was a “Chor” and corrupt. They all harped on his being dead and being some kind of “martyr”. Rajiv is no martyr but we will settle that in another post. I have repeatedly stated in multiple posts that the Thugbandhan is not interested in India or her future nor do they have any kind of agenda for the country, their state or their constituency. All they want is to escape jail for their crimes:

On May 4, PM Modi’s public interaction on IndiaTV was aired and for the first time he stated what I have been stating all along. That neither Congress nor any of the Sickular give two hoots about India or her future. They only want power to wriggle out of all the cases against them and bury those cases to survive. That’s why they hate Modi, call him names and probably want him dead (Video 1.43 mins):

 

They will do anything to escape the law – burn India, hold the SC to ransom, concoct all kinds of frivolous PILs and other cases. Abuse the EC, CEC, EVMs, CJI – no one will be spared. Last year, the brainless SM Head of Congress, Divya Spandana, made a tweet calling the CJI a “Bench-fixer” and Congress has the audacity to claim Modi is destroying institutions. For this tweet and the accusation within, the “Spindena” moron should have been hauled up and jailed for Contempt but our SC too is a willing accomplice in these Congress crimes:

I am overlooking the photoshopped pic of Hitler to equate him with Modi. These tiny dancers think these artyfarty crap might help them in anyway. Following this tweet abusing the CJI there was a discussion on Republic TV where prominent advocate Harish Salve revealed that from 2014, he had suggested that the Congress will try to destabilise ModiSarkar through the judiciary (video excerpt 1.00 min):

 

Spindena abuse and contempt of SC – Unpunished. Prashant Bhushan abuse of SC over Judge Loya verdict and another Contempt in the Rafale episode – Unpunished. RaGa abuse and Contempt of SC in his “Chowkidar Chor” rants – Unpunished. What is the message that the SC is repeatedly giving us and, particularly, to the Congress Coolies? That “Barkis is Willing”. This level of abuse of SC, Contempt episodes and arm-twisting of judges with impeachment motions and sexual-misconduct allegations emboldens the Congis to think they have the courts in their pockets and any election verdict can be subverted or put on hold through the SC. Thus, it encourages the audacity of tainted lawyers like Indira Jaising to ask an absurd question:

Who will be the vacation judges? What’s it to this moron who the vacation judges will be? Pretty obviously, she is looking for some pliant judges who will do an encore with “Barkis is willing”. The same goes for other members of the Congress legal-mafia – Abhishek Singhvi, Kapil Sibal, Prashant Bhushan etc. They are not asking an innocent question – all of them know who the vacation judges will be and who are most likely to hear petitions challenging the LS2019 election verdict. They also know who their darling choices are best equipped to put a hold on Modi being sworn in again and on what grounds. Their behavioural pattern naturally makes me estimate they already have a plan ready. They didn’t expect the thrashing in 2014 but this time they are prepared:

They have already filed multiple cases in the SC to force the EC to somehow act against Modi over some speeches and get him barred. Modi is far too clever a politician with words and signs to get trapped into the Congi tricks. So, even as the EC has given a clean-chit to Modi in more than one complaint, their SC-attack will continue. Their Commie sidekick TheLiar has offered them some good hints:

IndiraG’s election was annulled because she used Babu’s and official machinery to act as her campaign managers. TheLiar stupidly quotes some Niti Aayog official seeking some data on certain territories and claims this is to facilitate Modi campaigning in those exact territories. The linkage even as circumstantial evidence is silly and poor. But doesn’t matter, the legal mafia will petition SC on this to “try their luck” to question Modi’s election from Varanasi and try to get him debarred. That’s the first salvo. What are the other actions planned? They would have already gone through the nomination papers filed by Modi with a fine toothcomb but probably found nothing. Here are some things the legal mafia will undertake post elections.

# For some reason or other that they will concoct, the legal mafia will seek to halt the counting in Varanasi or Stay the declaration of result for some EVM fault concoction. They have already started in earnest by filing a petition in SC for that sacked BSF Jawan-candidate who has a dubious record. They probably hope to get the Varanasi election annulled with protracted exchanges on this spurious case:

 

# Across MP, Rajasthan and Maharashtra multiple recounts will be demanded and, in some constituencies, the courts will be approached for fresh elections to some booths or to the entire constituency.

# A fresh petition will be filed in the SC again to reiterate the demand for results to be declared only after 50% VVPAT counting. They are already trying hard on this front:

 

# It is not Congress alone, there are other senior players in the business that are worried about holding on to their so-called bastions. Sharad Pawar is rattled enough to worry and state if his daughter Supriya Sule loses from Baramati then EVMs are definitely manipulated and people will lose faith in democracy. Count another strike in some EC complaint or a court case. AB Vajpayee lost LS election in 1984. Narasimha Rao lost in 1984 (during Indira sympathy wave) and Arun Jaitley lost in 2014 (During ModiWave). These are some big names but faith in democracy would be lost if some little nobody like Supriya Sule loses an election just because she is the daughter of Pawar? Such is the arrogant crap from dynastic goons.

All this is subject to the numbers game. The Sickular mafia hopes that BJP will hang around 230-240 and their allies get another 30-40 odd. This would leave the BJP and allies with a slender majority. However, if the BJP by itself gets a clear majority again and with their Allies cross 300, then the legal mafia will have to be a lot more innovative. Their prime target in either case will be to throw a spanner in the Varanasi election result and somehow get it stayed by the SC. The Congis have already run to the EC with a complaint against Modi over his severe trashing of RajivG over corruption. A clear win for BJP and with allies over 300 will definitely mean the end of Chinese Gandhis and many Sickular scamsters. Let’s hope this is the last time this EVIL raises its ugly head in this country.

Series concluded.

 

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