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Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts

Thursday, January 23, 2014

India UnInc - The Small People



In the past I have recommended a few books I considered a good read. Beginning now I will sometimes write about good books that I come across that have concerns of India at heart. India UnInc is one such book.

Santa Claus is a much celebrated figure. He is the one who is dressed up and is seen all around during Christmas. But in his hometown somewhere in the North Pole, it’s the little ‘Elves’ who keep the wheels turning at his gift-factory. They’re the ones who also maintain his sled and reindeer. The story of elves is not going to be told as often. The story of Indian economy is somewhat similar. I believe there are two economies; one is the political economy and the other is the “real” economy. The political-economy pays a lot of attention to the corporate sector but the real economy comprises both the corporate and the unorganised sector as also the “unincorporated” sector. This is the story that “India UnInc” looks at in the just-released book by Prof R. Vaidyanathan (RV). The book looks at the whole UnInc industry with facts and figures and a narrative that is enjoyable to read.

There are organised and unorganised sectors in our economy which are recognised. Both sectors are usually registered under some Central or State legislations and maintain regular books of accounts and file returns. The UnInc constitutes all the other “small people”, partnerships or proprietors (P&P as RV calls it). This sector can include your corner-pan-shop, barbers, carpenters, plumbers, rickshaw-pullers and even CAs, architects, lawyers and so on. These are non-agricultural and non-governmental in nature. To give you an idea of how this sector keeps the wheels of Indian economy turning let me quote from the book:

The Unincorporated sector in India contributes about 45% of the national income, which, by far, surpasses the corporate sector’s contribution of about 15% and yet its contribution remains unacknowledged. Also, it is important to note that the estimates of this sector in manufacturing and services need to be more accurate.

RV hilariously tells us how national planners and economy-analysers sometimes use POTA in their studies or analysis of this sector and economy in general. No, this is not that POTA, this POTA is data “Pulled out of Thin Air”. He states: “We observe that the non-corporate service activities, which, in turn, constitutes nearly two thirds of our economy. These are also the fastest growing activities. So justifiably, it is the non-corporate sector that should be termed ‘the engine of our economic growth’ and the Indian economy be called the partnership and proprietorship economy (P&P economy)”.

Thus RV deals with some myths about our economy that have always surrounded us and led us to believe that the corporate sector is the great backbone of the Indian economy. The truth, as with all myths, is quite different. This is not in any way to dismiss the corporate sector or its deserved place, but to indicate that they get more attention than due. Known for his wit and research RV also makes some stunning points with a good sense of humour: “There is a witty saying in the Army, that to move up in the ranks what needs to be done is “Salute all things moving and paint all things standing”. In the same vein, governments attempt to control and regulate an economic activity if it does not understand it and tax it if it is growing fast”. 

RV also touches upon education concerns of these small people and also how they contribute to many causes; both social and religious for their own community. That they also make a great contribution to savings while managing their own expenses. He writes: “What is really important is that the educational expenses are, in a perverse way, inversely related to the level of education, like KG being more expensive than post-graduation”… Banks do not provide loans for school education but provide for IIM/IIT education”. This is an absurdity in our system. Narendra Modi in his last speech at a BJP meet outlined primary education in his vision statement. RV explains it as giving loans for constructing the second and third floor of a building but not the foundation. I would go further and suggest primary education should be free for all children no matter private or public schools. This freebie or burden is one that we should gladly bear.

Public and media discussions largely centre around macro-economics. This is a reason why you’ll find “eminent economists” like Sagarika Ghose quizzing Modi on US business interests or fiscal deficits. Our lives are related to micro-economics. Even on the issue of reservation in private sector, RV logically explains why SCs/STs would be better served by developing their skills to be entrepreneurs. Indians are gifted at enterprise. This is where govts should be investing energy instead of more and more doles and reservation.

I have met RV a few times and he is a keen observer of the economy and political policies. Apart from being a popular teacher at IIM Bangalore he conveys his messages with a lot of facts and figures and analogies. His articles feature in many newspapers and he often appears on TV as a panellist. We tend to discuss economics in casual conversations with issues that directly affect our everyday lives. This book takes it further for the country and will inevitably become a tool and resource for anyone seeking a deeper understanding and learning of Indian economics of the small people. You can get it as paperback or a Kindle version.


PS: Please vote on the India’s worst journalists poll -2014 (Right margin of this page).
  

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Three Idiots In Ahmedabad


Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself. - Mark Twain.

Sure, Mark Twain meant the American Congress, the equivalent of parliament but then I’m learning to spin and in our context I’m also starting to think he meant India’s Congress party. It’s because I can’t think of anything else to describe why three idiots from the Congress landed in Ahmedabad on June 13, 2012. P. Chidambaram, Salman Khurshid and Ambika Soni landed in Ahmedabad (Gujarat) supposedly to boast of the UPA’s achievements in the last 8 years. The other undisclosed agenda was to challenge the achievements of Gujarat under Narendra Modi. They came too soon! Elections are still some months away.

And then talk about bad luck and bad timing. On a day when some of the national media too landed up in Ahmedabad the main story on all news channels was that of the Presidential election circus. Who screwed them? It was one of their own alliance team – Mamata Banerjee and Mulayam Singh, who snubbed Sonia Gandhi with their choices for President. That’s for the politics bit. The three wise kings were not about to talk to their subjects in Gujarat but to their ‘Inner-wheel’ club called the media.

Ambika Soni, the I&B minister, who is known to arm-twist media outlets (according to Aditya Sinha of DNA) made it abundantly clear to the folks in the theatre: “Ask the questions you were supposed to ask”. Of course, that’s like parents of students telling teachers to stick to the syllabus. So here are some highlights:

Salman Khurshid was unexpectedly asked about the Supreme Court refusal to stay the sub-quota for muslims which was earlier struck down by the Andhra High Court, which SK had earlier made an election bomb in UP, which was earlier criticised all around, which was earlier…. This was the Law Minister’s response: "Vacation benches tend to be conservative. We thought we will get relief but it did not happen. It happens at times... when the court reopens it will go to the regular bench where the matter will be heard before we get a final answer”. Oh okay, so vacation benches are conservative. I wonder what regular benches of SC would be like – Fascists or Secularists? So now you know when to go to the SC and what kind of bench for the verdict you want.

When a reporter persisted with his question on Gujarat’s development it was left to P. Chidambaram to answer. PC accepted the Gujarat development story but wanted to let the world know that the Centre had provided great help for the cause. What he doesn’t mention though is that much of the Centre’s resources to Gujarat comes from its own contributions and do not amount to doles given out to some other states. Read more at DeshGujarat.

And Ambika Soni had only one thing to talk about – Malnutrition. That malnutrition in Gujarat was higher than the national average. Point made. But she forgot to mention what Gujarat was doing about it. Worse, she forgot to mention what the Centre was doing about it. In a speech in Mumbai recently Narendra Modi had pointed out that the PM’s three year report about UPA-2 didn’t have any mention of malnutrition in women and children although he considered it a ‘national shame’. Jainarayan Vyas, minister in Gujarat, has challenged the figures quoted by Soni but malnutrition is hardly a matter of numbers game. Whether in Gujarat or the country it is a shame indeed.

Now, you would have thought that after the grand show of the three kings in Ahmedabad the front pages of Ahmedabad would be flooded with the blast they had. Well, instead the Times of India front page story today, the day after, is “It’s advantage Modi in Gujarat’s Kurukushetra”. That says a lot for the lightning media campaign of the three idiots. Worse, the TOI Ahmedabad edition doesn’t have a single word of this press meet on its front page.

Reminds me of the question the teacher asked the class: “Who were the three kings who brought peace and happiness....?” A thoughtful little Johny responded: “Smo-King, Drin-King and F**-King”.  I don’t know what the three idiots or their party smoke or drink but I would certainly hope they get to their jobs seriously and stop ‘F**king’ Gujarat and the nation.

Thursday, January 13, 2011

15 Lakh Crores & The Business Channels Don’t Find It Newsworthy!

CNBC-TV18, NDTV-Profit and other mediacrooks of business news were busy all of yesterday with mundane statistics. How growth slowed down in November 2010 and blah blah blah! The only newsworthy story they carried was Indigo’s plan to buy 180 new aircrafts. That’s the single largest deal in commercial aviation history and one which can bring cheers. That would be worth around $ 15.6 billion. Cheers to Indigo! From from Paris where Indigo sealed that purchase there was an event in small time India that was far bigger, had big national and international players and has become some sort of roadmap to progress. Vibrant Gujarat.

If one were to go by the sound bytes of major business channels or news channels the Vibrant Gujarat event would appear to be some small time village mela for cattle trade. The only channels covering the event were local and some national Gujarati language channels. The major business and news channels only found space for the event on their websites, perhaps grudgingly so. For anything remotely connected to Gujarat or Narendra Modi is anti-India to them. So be it!

It is Gujarat though that is having the last laugh. Some minor details are mind boggling:
Mahatma Mandir - Venue of Vibrant Gujarat 2011
1. The worth of investment commitments is around 1/3rd of the national GDP itself.
2.   Over 25000 international and national business, political and diplomatic delegates attended the two-day Vibrant Gujarat event on January 12
3.   2076 MOUs signed worth $333 Bn or 15 lakh crores.

In the season of scams this would have been something to cheer about. But as is the practice with our media, anything to do with Gujarat is a non-event. In an investment summit such as this, one would have thought that the central Commerce and Finance ministers would be interested as it makes a big difference to the Indian economy. Well, its not a Congress government in Gujarat so that doesn’t count for India to them.

Is there criticism? Sure, Shaktisinh Gohil, leader of Congress in Gujarat says only a fraction of the MOUs actually materialise and much of the land to big industrialists is given away at throw away prices. First, yes all of the MOUs may not finally translate into investments. However, even if a good fraction of the 15lakh crore ($ 333Bn) MOUs materialise it is still a huge investment. Compare this to the fact that Obama came shopping and went back home happy with commitments worth $ 10Bn. That should put it in perspective. And if land is being given away at throwaway prices as Gohil would suggest we are yet to hear complaints from those who sold their lands unlike in Singur (Bengal).Vibrant Gujarat and such events bring hope. Instead, the media is caught up with the nonsense of Rahul Gandhi’s utterances.

One would fervently hope that other states in India pick up this lead and set up events, systems and practices that put them and their people on the road to being busy with healthy economic activities. The good news is, Vibrant Gujarat may well recover the worth of all the UPA scams put together.