Potholes UP Ahead 2022

Nothing energises PM Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, JP Nadda and their ministers and senior leaders like an election campaign. They recently lost a big one in Bengal and that must really hurt. It will take a while to heal as Modi, Shah and others went into a bout of silence for about two weeks. The BhajanMandli started chanting “Silence is the secret weapon of Modi”. Maybe it is and maybe his silence is now better than his worthless sermons.

Luckily for BJP, they are not quite into a losing streak. They recently won Bihar and then again in Assam. I put out a thread on Twitter on why Shah and Modi had gone into a silence post-Bengal. And their silence over the mass murder of Hindus post-elections and exodus of thousands from Bengal to Assam as refugees. That, is an unforgiveable sin and a major failure for Modi. The top reason for BJP losing Bengal is excessive arrogance and chasing Muslim votes. Now Modi & co are already in “Election 2022” mode. The Bengal results have obviously rattled Modi and Shah, so they are already on to Uttar Pradesh this early:

On Dushera 2016, Modi was in Lucknow for the Ram-Leela. He started off celebrations with the chant of “Jai Shri Ram”. Considering the occasion that chant wouldn’t be out of place but its political message cannot be denied either. Ram has become another token political tool for the BJP under Modi. The entire UP campaign of 2017 was driven by a strong Hindutva tone to it. Modi even used a “Shamshan-Kabristan” discrimination and prejudice in electricity supply during Ramzan and Diwali to drive home the Muslim appeasement of Samajwadi Party.

All of it paid off handsomely as the BJP won the elections with a whopping 300+ seats out of 403. Consequent to the win, in a somewhat unexpected move Yogi Adityanath was made the CM. Yogi had also campaigned heavily in UP to bring success to the BJP. Because he is saffron-clad and a Yogi, he is naturally disliked by the Sickulars and the Fiberal media. However, in the last 4 years, Yogi has performed fairly well considering he manages one of the most unproductive and lawless states in the country. If I were to rate him, I would give him a B+ rating.

Without a doubt, Ram and the underlying Hindutva tone dominated the 2017 campaign. It is what happens after the BJP wins elections anywhere that the Chameleon changes colours. Pappus like Devendra Fadnavis allowed namaz on roads, chased “Messiah of peace awards” from Muslims, looted Hindu temple-money. He lost power. Raghubar Das of Jharkhand grandly built Haj Houses. He lost power. Of course, the biggest Muslim-appeaser is none other than Modi himself – apart from the highest financial doles in history, Modi also lectures on Islam, Mohammad, 99 Green Balloons, indulges in tomb-lighting. Not just that, Modi also sheds tears only for Muslim victims of violence or tragedies while maintaining a stoic silence over the mass-murder of Hindus at various places. I now call it “Mooh me Ram, Bagal me Shabana”. And just during Bengal and other recent elections, Modi was picture perfect in communicating what he wanted:

But what happens if the BJP wins elections? They just go all out to appease Muslims while giving cosmetic Gobar to Hindus that actually mean nothing more than a one-night stand. Not one single BJP CM or Modi has done anything for Hindus that can be counted as REAL benefit other than the recent exception of BS Yedyurappa who announced relief amounts for Pujaris and poor Brahmin women for their marriages. Assam CM Hemanta Biswa is boldly dismantling bogus funding of Madrassas (and appeasement of Muslims) while Modi and Yogi continue to increase it. All the other thook-sucking CMs brag about how they have outdone Sickulars in appeasing Muslims. It’s the greatest competitive FRAUD in Indian politics right now:

If you look at the kind of spending and the kind of heart-bleed that Modi and the BJP CMs do for Muslims, you would think they are actually the parents of helpless, permanent victims of tragedies. Madrassa funding, marriage funding, TT funding, Haj house funding – you name it and the Muslims will have some govt scheme for that:

It’s wrong to assume all this appeasement is being done for votes. But it’s being done to outplay the Sickulars, to paint a great image of Modi in the Islamic world and hope to get some minor percentage of votes to offset those Hindus who clamour for “Equal rights, temple freedoms, RTE repeal” etc. The main purpose is stay competitively ahead of Sickulars that the BJP also indulges in acts that tolerate crimes of violent Islamists, violent farmers. Because farmers are a big votebank BJP doesn’t want to upset them. Muslims are not their votebank but BJP wants to keep them placated and out-do Sickulars in the game. BJP grinds Hindus to dust in the belief that “Hindus have nowhere to go”. They must be stripped and showed that this fraudulent trick has started backfiring.

One of the reasons for the strong performance of BJP in 2017 is that Yogi is a Thakur and also popular with the OBC-Dalit groups. His campaign helped Modi and Shah. In February 2016, Yogi also invoked Maharaja Suheldev who is a great icon for OBC-Dalits. This has continued every year with Modi making it a big splash this year just before the UP-Panchayat elections. BJP released stamps on Suheldev, named a train after him but yet couldn’t win the Panchayat elections in May 2021:

While BJP lost key Panchayat elections, this OBC-Dalit chunk is separated from Hindus by BJP as cleverly as the Sickulars do it. All of what they do is what I call “Lipstick” and gullible Hindus get carried away with symbolic gestures. In November 2020, the Yogi govt decorated Varanasi banks with lights and put up a laser show for Modi who was foot-tapping to Disco-Bhajans that were jarring to the ears. Such colour and pomp is all that Hindus get but not a single rupee of help or sympathy for tragedies by Modi. Even the compensation, if any, given to Hindu victims of crimes or tragedies is peanuts compared to Muslims. Get dancing:

The Opposition in UP is naturally going to exploit the Covid handling if the pandemic extends a few months more. They might engineer a few communal riots as is commonly done in UP before elections. There are Fiberal Filths like Barkha Dutt who peddle crap about bodies floating in the Ganga due to Covid deaths when such incidents are not new and going on since long. While the practice of dumping bodies in Ganga must stop, it is certainly not a Covid phenomenon. The entire Sickular media and world media will be ready to hang Yogi for Covid handling but in reality, he has done a far better job than most other CMs given UP is a large state and he himself was a victim of Covid too. How well BJP manages to communicate this is the challenge.

Priyanka Vadra will be again touted as the great white dope to save Congress in UP but other than a lot of noises she might just cause little damage here and there. So, while keeping her in check would be prudent the real opponent will still be SP and BSP. Mayawati is presently in the wilderness but some turn of event and begging for sympathy-votes might give her enough to leverage some power in the Assembly and the Centre. The UP elections are entirely for the BJP to lose. There are other states going to elections in February-March – Goa, Manipur, Punjab and Uttarakhand. BJP has very poor strength in Punjab and must focus on UP but put in strong efforts in Goa and Uttarakhand. There isn’t any great stake in Manipur.

The Sickulars will also keep the fake farmer agitation burning till UP-2022. This is again a failure of Modi in putting down the agitation and riots during Covid with a firm hand. Modi’s will to govern is gone. He has no spine to enforce law and order whether it is on the ground against fake agitations or online against Twitter. ModiSarkar is permanently on a defensive mode. Rakesh Tikait knows this and so does Jack Dorsey. On his recent trip to Bengal for cyclone review, Modi was made to wait by Mamata. Modi must realise he has lost respect among many CMs. Modi doesn’t respect his own votebank. His picture sitting alone waiting for Mamata reflects a sorry state of affairs.

Modi will not command the same respect as earlier in UP either. He has no sense of the Hindu-anger on the ground. BJP must learn this fast and repair it. It would be prudent of Modi & Co to play a supporting role to Yogi as their lead actor rather than turn Yogi into a supporting actor.

Since 2014 Hindus have invested a lot of trust in BJP and Modi but they must also learn that once the BJP wins elections they take Hindus for granted and chase Muslims. This Muslim-appeasement is not so much for votes but for competitive Sickularism and world-acceptance that Modi is not “Anti Muslim”. As a consequence, Hindus have got nothing in the bargain. Not one thing that could be called SPECIFIC to Hindus. Only idiots would count Ram Mandir as Modi’s gift to Hindus when the real sacrifices started long ago. Even so, a mandir is NOT am economic benefit to Hindus like a scholarship for children and to monkey-balance, the Muslims have been given land for a mosque in Ayodhya too.

Social leaders of Hindus must go through the BJP manifesto for UP and other states with a fine tooth-comb and see what they specifically offer to Hindus. The treacherous crooks of BJP promised to free temples in Tamil Nadu when they knew damn well, they had nothing to win and wouldn’t be in power. Such is their foolish deception. Hindus should grow up and not be deluded and fooled by chants of “Jai Shri Ram” – you can chant that yourself, you don’t need a party or govt for that. Those who see “Mini India” in ghettos like AMU should get their vision and brains checked. If BJP doesn’t offer anything specific for Hindus, the road ahead in UP could be pot-holed.

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